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Pawn Advantage, Win Percentage, and Elo

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'''[[Main Page|Home]] * [[Evaluation]] * Pawn Advantage, Win Percentage and Elo'''
An examination by [[Sune Fischer]] and [[Pradu Kannan]] in December 2007 on the approximate relations between win percentage'''Win Percentage''', pawn advantage'''Pawn Advantage''', and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system Elo rating] advantage for computer chess appeaered with resulted in following findings.
=Relationship=
=Publications=
* [[Shogo Takeuchi]], [[Tomoyuki Kaneko]], [[Kazunori Yamaguchi]], [[Satoru Kawai]] ('''2007'''). ''Visualization and Adjustment of Evaluation Functions Based on Evaluation Values and Win Probability''. [http://www.informatik.uni-trier.de/~ley/db/conf/aaai/aaai2007.html AAAI 2007], [https://www.aaai.org/Papers/AAAI/2007/AAAI07-136.pdf pdf]
* [[Kenneth Wingate Regan|Kenneth W. Regan]], [[Tamal T. Biswas]], [[Jason Zhou]] ('''2014'''). ''Human and Computer Preferences at Chess''. [http://www.cse.buffalo.edu/~regan/papers/pdf/RBZ14aaai.pdf pdf]* [[Tamal T. Biswas]], [[Kenneth Wingate Regan|Kenneth W. Regan]] ('''2015'''). ''Measuring Level-K Reasoning, Satisficing, and Human Error in Game-Play Data''. [[IEEE]] [http://www.icmla-conference.org/icmla15/ ICMLA 2015], [http://www.cse.buffalo.edu/~regan/papers/pdf/BiRe15_ICMLA2015.pdf pdf preprint]
* [[Shogo Takeuchi]], [[Tomoyuki Kaneko]] ('''2015'''). ''[http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/articleDetails.jsp?arnumber=7336038 Estimating Ratings of Computer Players by the Evaluation Scores and Principal Variations in Shogi]''. [http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/mostRecentIssue.jsp?punumber=7335993 ACIT-CSI]
=PostingssPostings===1999==
* [https://www.stmintz.com/ccc/index.php?id=52542 Elo performance?] by [[Stefan Meyer-Kahlen]], [[CCC]], May 22, 1999 » [[Match Statistics]], [[Playing Strength]]
==2000 ...==
* [https://www.stmintz.com/ccc/index.php?id=261636 likelihood instead of pawnunits? + chess knowledge] by [[Ingo Lindam]], [[CCC]], October 25, 2002
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=30695 Winning percentage and centipawns] by [[Luca Hemmerich]], [[CCC]], November 18, 2009
==2010 ...==
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=43323 Pawn Advantage, Win Percentage, and Elo] by [[Adam Hair]], [[CCC]], April 15, 2012
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=44670 normal vs logistic curve for Elo model] by [[Daniel Shawul]], [[CCC]], August 02, 2012
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=50266 Houdini, much weaker engines, and Arpad Elo] by [[Kai Laskos]], [[CCC]], November 29, 2013 » [[Houdini]], [[Match Statistics]] <ref>[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arpad_Elo Arpad Elo - Wikipedia]</ref>
* [http://macechess.blogspot.de/2014/03/pawn-advantage-in-ice.html Pawn Advantage in iCE] by [[Thomas Petzke]], [http://macechess.blogspot.de/ mACE Chess], March 16, 2014 » [[iCE]]
* [https://chesscomputer.tumblr.com/post/98632536555/using-the-stockfish-position-evaluation-score-to/embed Using the Stockfish position evaluation score to predict victory probability] by unavoidablegrain, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tumblr Tumblr], September 28, 2014 » [[Stockfish]]
==2015 ...==
* [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2015/10/06/depth-of-satisficing/ Depth of Satisficing] by [[Kenneth W. Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], October 06, 2015 » [[Depth]], [[Match Statistics]], [[Pawn Advantage, Win Percentage, and Elo]], [[Stockfish]], [[Komodo]] <ref>[http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=57890 Regan's latest: Depth of Satisficing] by [[Carl Lumma]], [[CCC]], October 09, 2015</ref>
* [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2016/12/08/magnus-and-the-turkey-grinder/ Magnus and the Turkey Grinder] by [[Kenneth W. Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], December 08, 2016 » [[Match Statistics]] <ref>[https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/when-data-serves-turkey/ When Data Serves Turkey] by [[Kenneth W. Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], November 30, 2016</ref> <ref>[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2016 World Chess Championship 2016 from Wikipedia]</ref> <ref>[http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=62435 Regan's conundrum] by [[Carl Lumma]], [[CCC]], December 09, 2016</ref>
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=65764 Statistical interpretation of search and eval scores] by [[J. Wesley Cleveland]], [[CCC]], November 18, 2017 » [[Match Statistics]], [[Score]]
* [http://www.talkchess.com/forum3/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=68072 Why Lc0 eval (in cp) is asymmetric against AB engines?] by [[Kai Laskos]], [[CCC]], July 25, 2018 » [[Asymmetric Evaluation]], [[Leela Chess Zero]]
==2020 ...==
* [https://lczero.org/blog/2020/04/wdl-head/ Win-Draw-Loss evaluation] by [[Alexander Lyashuk|crem]], [[Leela Chess Zero|LCZero blog]], April 20, 2020 » [[TCEC Season 17#Superfinal|TCEC Season 17 Superfinal]]
=External Links=
* [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system Elo rating system from Wikipedia]
* [http://www.ratingtheory.com/index.htm Back to Basics in Rating Theory] by [http://www.ratingtheory.com/author.htm Royal Clifford Jones, Jr.]
* [http://macechess.blogspot.de/2014/03/pawn-advantage-in-ice.html Pawn Advantage in iCE] by [[Thomas Petzke]], [http://macechess.blogspot.de/ mACE Chess], March 16, 2014 » [[iCE]]
* [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2015/10/06/depth-of-satisficing/ Depth of Satisficing] by [[Kenneth Wingate Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], October 06, 2015 » [[Depth]], [[Match Statistics]], [[Pawn Advantage, Win Percentage, and Elo]], [[Stockfish]], [[Komodo]] <ref>[http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=57890 Regan's latest: Depth of Satisficing] by [[Carl Lumma]], [[CCC]], October 09, 2015</ref>
* [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2016/12/08/magnus-and-the-turkey-grinder/ Magnus and the Turkey Grinder] by [[Kenneth Wingate Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], December 08, 2016 » [[Match Statistics]] <ref>[https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/when-data-serves-turkey/ When Data Serves Turkey] by [[Kenneth Wingate Regan|Ken Regan]], [https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/ Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP], November 30, 2016</ref> <ref>[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2016 World Chess Championship 2016 from Wikipedia]</ref> <ref>[http://www.talkchess.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=62435 Regan's conundrum] by [[Carl Lumma]], [[CCC]], December 09, 2016</ref>
* [http://wismuth.com/elo/calculator.html Elo Win Probability Calculator] by [[Mathematician#FLabelle|François Labelle]]
=References=
<references />
 
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